FLIGHT Centre Travel Group (FLT) upgraded its 2023 fiscal year (FY23) profit guidance. Based on preliminary trading data, FLT now expects to report underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) between $295million and $305millionfor the 12 months to June 30, 2023.

The new midpoint, $300million, represents:

• A 7 per cent increase on the midpoint in the company’s previously targeted range of

underlying EBITDA between $270million and $290million; and

• A $483million turnaround on the underlying $183million FY22 loss

Total transaction value (TTV) for FY23 is expected to be in the order of $22billion, almost 115 per cent growth on the prior year (FY22: $10.3billion) and the company’s second strongest full year result behind FY19 ($23.7billion).

FLT’s global corporate travel business has continued to outperform, delivering record TTV during FY23 in a market that has generally improved but has yet to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels.

Corporate TTV for FY23 is expected to reach $11billion, which represents more than 20 per cent growth on the business’s previous TTV record of $8.9 billion (FY19).

This reflects:

• Gradual recovery in client activity following the removal of COVID-related travel

restrictions; and

• The multi-billion-dollar pipeline of new accounts won across both the FCM and

Corporate Traveller brands during the pandemic

Global leisure TTV for FY23 is expected to be in the order of $10billion, following a strong and consistent recovery during the year’s second half (2H).

“Overall, we are pleased with our continued recovery as demand has generally rebounded solidly across both our leisure and corporate travel businesses,” FLT managing director Graham Turner said.

“In corporate, we have delivered record TTV while investing significantly for the future bysecuring large volumes of new accounts, expanding our sales force and introducing innovative new platforms and products for our customers, which should lead to stronger returns in the years ahead.

“In leisure, we are emerging from the pandemic as a more productive, more efficient and more diverse business with a strong brand stable, enhanced capability and efficient and productive models that are now starting to achieve scale benefits.

“During FY23, we also invested in our luxury travel collection through the Scott Dunn acquisition early in the 2H and, more recently, the Luxperience events business to bolster our presence in a very attractive leisure sector.”

“Looking ahead, our expectations are that leisure travellers will continue to prioritise holidays and experiences over other areas of discretionary spending, as we have seen in the past and as evidenced by the consistent year-on-year growth in outbound travel in large and important markets like Australia.

“In corporate, we expect that the large volume of new business that we continue to win both from competitors and accounts that were previously unmanaged – will offset the impact on TTV flowing from lower-than-normal client spend.”

FCM Travel, Managing Director Asia, Bertrand Saillet said :“Business travel continues to grow in a post-pandemic world. Our enterprise and large market customers are thriving despite the tough economic conditions across Asia, given that it was the last region to re-open.

“Our internal data shows us that year-on-year (01 January to 30 June 2022/2023) business travel has soared by over 200 per cent due to the high demand from corporates in our key Asian markets such as Singapore, Hong Kong, and India.

“This includes strong account wins from industries such as Manufacturing, Professional Scientific & Technical Services, and Banking, Finance and Insurance coupled with a high customer retention rate of 99% average across Asia.

“The key reason for business travels are face-to-face meetings. United States, United Kingdom, and Singapore as the top 3 international destinations for business travel from Asia.“For most businesses, travel is a necessity, rather than a discretionary spend. Businesspeople are returning to meetings, events, and conferences. FCM India’s Meeting & Events arm has a reported growth of over 200%.

“Travel confidence amongst business travellers across Asia has also improved with Japan having the highest increase in average advance purchase days by 13 days and Hong Kong by 7 days.“With unemployment remaining low, and competition heating up between businesses, travel has never been more critical to winning contracts and both recruiting and retaining staff.”

Citi analyst Samuel Seow maintained a Hold rating on Flight Centre Travel Group.  Samuel says Flight Centre’s revised FY23 EBITDA guidance range is 4 per cent higher than consensus at the midpoint. The beat was driven by Corporate, with Leisure largely in line.

This update shows Corporate TTV at $11 billion which is now greater than $10 billion Leisure transactions.